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Plans & Coverage

Long-Term Care Planning

Medicare and Medicare Advantage generally don't pay for long-term custodial care — help with daily activities like bathing and dressing, assisted living, or an extended nursing-home stay. That matters more than most people realize, because the federal government puts the odds of needing some kind of long-term care after 65 at almost 70%, and the bills are large enough to undo a lifetime of saving. Below are the actual figures for Utah and Colorado, the actual odds, and the ways families plan around them.

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~70%

chance someone turning 65 today will need some type of long-term care

ACL / HHS

$127,750

a year for a private nursing home room in Utah — $139,795 in Colorado

Genworth/CareScout, 2024

20%

will need that care for longer than five years

ACL / HHS

$0

of long-term custodial care paid by Original Medicare or Medicare Advantage

Medicare.gov

What long-term care costs in Utah

Annual median costs. Utah's costs came in roughly on par with national medians. Year-over-year change in the right column shows how fast this is moving.

Type of careAnnual median costChange vs. prior year
Homemaker services$82,368+6%
Home health aide$86,944+9%
Adult day care$45,500
Assisted living community$56,220+13%
Nursing home — semi-private room$100,375+10%
Nursing home — private room$127,750+5%

Source: Genworth & CareScout Cost of Care Survey, 2024 (surveyed July–December 2024)

What long-term care costs in Colorado

Annual median costs. Colorado runs above national medians — its home-care rates are among the ten highest in the country.

Type of careAnnual median costChange vs. prior year
Homemaker services$91,520+14%
Home health aide$96,096+11%
Adult day care$23,400
Assisted living community$70,521+16%
Nursing home — semi-private room$120,450+6%
Nursing home — private room$139,795+12%

Source: Genworth & CareScout Cost of Care Survey, 2024 (surveyed July–December 2024)

How likely you are to need care, and for how long

Two federal figures get quoted here and they measure different things. The ~70% is the chance of needing ANY long-term care. The 56% is the narrower slice with a "significant" need — help with at least two activities of daily living, or supervision for severe cognitive impairment, expected to last 90 days or more. Both are worth knowing; neither contradicts the other.

MeasureFigureSource
Chance of needing some type of long-term care after 65~70%ACL
Will need it for longer than 5 years20%ACL
May never need long-term care at all1 in 3ACL
Will have a significant care need (2+ daily activities, 90+ days)56%ASPE 2022
Average duration of significant need — women3.6 yearsASPE 2022
Average duration of significant need — men2.5 yearsASPE 2022
Women who will need at least 5 years of care26%ASPE 2022
Average projected lifetime paid care cost, per person$120,900ASPE 2022
Average value of unpaid care from family and friends$204,000ASPE 2022

Source: Administration for Community Living (ACL/HHS) and HHS ASPE, Risks and Financing, 2022

Read the tables before you read anything else

In Utah, a private nursing home room has a median cost of $127,750 a year and assisted living $56,220; in Colorado those figures are $139,795 and $70,521. A home health aide — the option most people actually want — runs $86,944 a year in Utah and $96,096 in Colorado. Those are median costs from the 2024 Genworth and CareScout Cost of Care Survey, and nearly every category rose by high single digits or more in a single year. Three years of care at Colorado's private-room rate is over $400,000.

Why Medicare isn't the answer

Original Medicare covers only short, skilled-care stays after a qualifying hospitalization — not the ongoing custodial care most people eventually need, and Medicare Advantage doesn't change that. Medicaid does pay for long-term care, but only after you've spent down most of your assets to qualify. Long-term care planning fills the gap in between, so you keep control of your savings and your choices instead of impoverishing yourself into eligibility.

The odds are not a coin flip

The federal Administration for Community Living puts the chance that someone turning 65 today needs some type of long-term care at almost 70%, and 20% will need it for longer than five years. A narrower federal measure — a significant need, meaning help with at least two daily activities for 90 days or more — still lands at 56%, with an average duration of 3.6 years for women and 2.5 for men. Whichever measure you use, this is not a rare catastrophe. It's a common one.

Family absorbs most of it, and that has a cost too

The same federal research values the unpaid care that family and friends provide at about $204,000 per person, against roughly $120,900 in paid care. That unpaid share is a daughter cutting back to part-time, a spouse who becomes a full-time caregiver at 78. Planning ahead isn't only about protecting money — it's about what you're asking the people around you to absorb.

Your options

Traditional long-term care insurance pays a daily or monthly benefit for care. Hybrid life-with-LTC policies pay a death benefit if you never need care, which answers the 'what if I never use it' objection that stops a lot of people. Certain annuity-based options can help as well. Each fits a different situation and budget, and none of them is right for everybody — we walk through them plainly and tell you when the answer is to do nothing.

Why timing matters

Eligibility and cost are based on your age and health when you apply, so families who look at this in their 50s or early 60s have more options and a better chance of qualifying. Once care is needed, insuring it is generally off the table. That's the whole reason this page leads with numbers instead of a sales pitch — the decision is easier to make while it's still hypothetical.

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Questions, answered

How much does a nursing home cost in Utah?

The 2024 Genworth and CareScout Cost of Care Survey puts Utah's annual median at $100,375 for a semi-private room and $127,750 for a private room. Assisted living runs $56,220 and a home health aide $86,944. Utah's costs are roughly in line with national medians, and most categories rose between 5% and 13% in a single year.

How much does long-term care cost in Colorado?

Colorado runs above national medians. The 2024 survey puts a private nursing home room at $139,795 a year and a semi-private room at $120,450, with assisted living at $70,521 and a home health aide at $96,096. Colorado's homemaker and home health aide rates rank among the ten highest in the country.

Doesn't Medicare cover nursing homes?

Only short, skilled-care stays after a qualifying hospitalization — not long-term custodial care, which is help with everyday activities like bathing, dressing, and eating. Medicare Advantage plans follow the same rule. That ongoing custodial care is precisely the gap long-term care planning exists to fill, and it is the single most common misunderstanding we run into.

What are the odds I'll actually need long-term care?

The federal Administration for Community Living puts it at almost 70% — someone turning 65 today has close to a 7-in-10 chance of needing some type of long-term care service. About 20% will need it for longer than five years, while roughly one in three may never need it at all. A stricter federal measure from HHS ASPE, counting only a "significant" need (help with two or more daily activities for at least 90 days), still comes in at 56%, averaging 3.6 years for women and 2.5 for men. The two figures don't conflict — they're counting different thresholds of care.

What if I buy coverage and never use it?

That's the appeal of hybrid life-with-LTC policies: if you never need care, your beneficiaries receive a death benefit, so the money isn't forfeited. It's the most common objection we hear and there's a legitimate product answer to it. We compare traditional and hybrid approaches side by side.

When should I look at long-term care planning?

Generally in your 50s or early 60s, while you're more likely to qualify and have the widest range of options. Waiting narrows the field, and once care is already needed, insuring it usually isn't possible. If you're past that window, there are still planning steps worth taking — it's worth a conversation either way.

Cover of Long Term Care: Bridging the Gap Between You and Extended Care, presented by Brian Penner

Free guide 📖

Long Term Care: Bridging the Gap Between You and Extended Care

The 81-page book that goes deeper than this page can — what Medicare and Medicaid actually pay for, how families cover the gap, and the questions to ask before you buy anything. Free digital copy, no obligation.

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Where these figures come from

Every number on this page traces to one of these. Check them yourself — costs move every year.

Official Medicare sources

We point you to the federal sources so you can verify everything. For current-year figures and to compare the plans available in your area:

  • Medicare.gov — the official U.S. government site for Medicare costs, coverage, and rules.
  • Medicare Plan Compare — the official tool to compare Medicare Advantage and Part D plans by ZIP.
  • Social Security (ssa.gov) — enroll in Medicare Parts A & B and check your eligibility.
  • CMS.gov — Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, which runs the program.

Education and estimates only — confirm current figures on Medicare.gov before enrolling. We do not offer every plan available in your area.

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Last updated . Maintained by the Medicare On Main Data Desk · reviewed by Brian Penner, Independent Medicare advisor (NPN 16493717).